He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Happy holidays! Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. Rev. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. 0:00:00 The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Whereas Tester . Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. police- settlements. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They consider how much. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. 450 episodes. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It's easy. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. This is the final episode. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. 11:03 AM. In the main event, former light FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Join. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. I'm Galen Truk. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. . What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The State Of The Polls, 2016. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. It's a busy week! You can't imitate a worldview. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. MANAGER'S SALARY. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. RSS Loading. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways.